Betting
UFC 319 Best Bets | DraftKings Sportsbook
Tim Finnegan of DraftKings Breaks Down UFC 319 And Gives Bets To Consider On DraftKings Sportsbook.
UFC 319 is taking place on Saturday from Chicago, and the card is headlined by a middleweight title fight between Dricus Du Plessis and Khamzat Chimaev. Aaron Pico is also making his UFC debut in the co-main event against Lerone Murphy.
A DraftKings Sportsbook bettor cashed in during UFC 318, turning only $7 into over $10,000 with a UFC Parlay Bet featuring the following picks:
● Ryan Spann Moneyline
● Islam Dulatov Moneyline
● Ateba Gautier Moneyline
● Vinicius Oliveira Moneyline
● Patricio Pitbull Moneyline
● Michael Johnson Moneyline
● Daniel Rodriguez Moneyline
● Paulo Costa Moneyline
● Max Holloway Moneyline
As a result of all of these outcomes hitting in the Parlay Bet, the UFC bettor took home $10,120.88.
DraftKings is hosting a huge fantasy UFC 319 tournament that pays out $600,000 in total prizes, including $200,000 to first place. Enter the contest for only $25 here.
UFC 319 Picks
Dricus Du Plessis vs Khamzat Chimaev
Chimaev is a monstrous offensive wrestler and has some of the highest-level wrestling in the entire sport. Chimaev has routinely destroyed opponents in the UFC with his offensive grappling, which was best on display in his fight against Li Jingliang, where Chimaev so easily ragdolled Jingliang with a bodylock that Chimaev decided to yell at UFC president Dana White while he was holding Jingliang in the air. Chimaev’s grappling metrics are excellent, recording over four takedowns per 15 minutes and posting a control time percentage of 55%, which ranks in the top 10 among all active UFC fighters. Chimaev’s lethal offensive grappling allows him to spend a lot of time in top position, where he is generally safe from opponent attacks. Chimaev’s top position percentage of 50% is fifth best among all active UFC fighters. Chimaev is also basically never on his back, stopping 100% of opponent takedown attempts and spending only two total seconds in bottom position in all of his UFC fights combined.
Chimaev is a dangerous finisher when he gets fights to the ground and actively hunts submission finishes. Chimaev is averaging just under three submission attempts per 15 minutes, the third-highest rate among all active UFC fighters, and has finished six of his eight UFC fights.
The only two opponents to give Chimaev resistance in the UFC have been Gilbert Burns and Kamaru Usman. The common denominator in those fights is that Burns and Usman are both strong grapplers, with Burns having a world championship level jiu-jitsu background and Usman carrying strong wrestling. Opponents who can force Chimaev into the deeper rounds in primarily a distance striking match have the best chance at defeating him, as Chimaev’s gas tank is not great and he is most dangerous early in the fight.
Du Plessis does not appear to possess these traits on paper. Du Plessis has stopped only 50% of opponent takedown attempts, a poor rate, and does not have an elite grappling background. Du Plessis instead finds success with an unorthodox style that is notoriously not aesthetic but effective. Du Plessis has also experienced cardio issues in the past, although having nose surgery to improve oxygen intake has improved his cardio in recent fights.
This matchup bodes well for Chimaev to take Du Plessis down early in the fight, exert his dominance through offensive grappling and find a finish before the midway point. Taking Chimaev to win and under 2.5 total rounds gives a plus-money payout.
Pick: Khamzat Chimaev to win and under 2.5 total rounds (+105)
Other bet to consider: Khamzat Chimaev -5.5 Point Spread (-180)
Read about UFC Point Spread betting at DraftKings Network: How to Bet UFC Point Spreads on DraftKings Sportsbook
DraftKings Fantasy UFC
Chimaev’s offensive grappling and quick-finishing ability give him big fantasy scoring upside. Chimaev’s control time percentage of 55% and takedown rate of over four per 15 minutes, combined with Du Plessis’ lack of elite grappling, puts Chimaev in position to be worth paying up for on the back of grappling volume and a potential first-round finish. Chimaev has scored over 100 DraftKings fantasy points in seven of his eight UFC fights and is positioned well to score over 100 fantasy points again in this matchup at his $8,900 price tag.
The main DraftKings fantasy UFC tournament has a huge prize pool of $600,000 this week, with the winner getting $200,000. Enter the contest for only $25 here.
DraftKings UFC Pick6
UFC Pick6 is a new peer-to-peer fantasy UFC contest where you build a lineup (your “Pick Set”) of at least two fighters and select whether or not you believe each will outperform their listed stat projection. Listed stat projections include significant strikes, takedowns, control time, knockdowns and more. For each fighter, simply select if you think they’ll have MORE or LESS than their listed stat projection. Make enough correct picks and win a share of the contests’ cash prizes!
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All odds provided by DraftKings Sportsbook, lines and odds subject to change.
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