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Muhammad Mokaev of Russia poses for a portrait after his victory during the UFC 280 event at Etihad Arena on October 22, 2022 in Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates. (Photo by Mike Roach/Zuffa LLC)
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Significant Stats | UFC 304: Edwards vs Muhammad 2

Preview The Key Matchups On UFC 304: Edwards vs Muhammad 2 Using Stats.

(All stats according to UFC’s Record Book as of July 24, 2024 and only include active athletes in their respective division unless noted otherwise)

Order UFC 304: Edwards vs Muhammad 2

Main Event: Leon Edwards vs Belal Muhammad

Leon Edwards

Leon Edwards of Jamaica kicks Colby Covington in the UFC welterweight championship fight during the UFC 296 event at T-Mobile Arena on December 16, 2023 in Las Vegas, Nevada. (Photo by Chris Unger/Zuffa LLC)
Leon Edwards of Jamaica kicks Colby Covington in the UFC welterweight championship fight during the UFC 296 event at T-Mobile Arena on December 16, 2023 in Las Vegas, Nevada. (Photo by Chris Unger/Zuffa LLC)

Key Stats: 53.3% significant strike accuracy (tied 8th), 2.34 strikes absorbed per minute (3rd), 70.2% takedown defense (9th)

What It Means: Although “Rocky” is best known as a sharp and precise striker, he has done well to round out his whole skillset to become a complete mixed martial artist. He is particularly adept at facilitating offense in the clinch with elbows and knees, and he shows his physical strength there, as well. His defensive grappling holds up well under immense pressure. Edwards is a smart defensive wrestler, and he does well to find wrist control to prevent his opponents from locking their hands and bringing him to the ground. If he does get put on his back, he is patient and careful in getting back up. His best defense, however, is his footwork and distance control. Overall, he is an out-and-out sharpshooter on the feet. 

Belal Muhammad

Key Stats: 1.98 takedowns averaged per 15 minutes, 57:12 control time (7th), 4.55 strikes landed per minute

Preview Every Fight On Saturday's Card 

What It Means: Muhammad is a high-pace, high-volume, exhaustive fighter whose striking continues to improve. The Chicago-born wrestler chains together his takedowns without forcing any grappling exchanges. He is comfortable on the feet and possesses sneaky-good boxing. That, combined with his cardio and wrestling base, makes for a grind of a fight every time he steps into the Octagon.

Belal Muhammad punches Gilbert Burns of Brazil in a welterweight fight during the UFC 288 event at Prudential Center on May 06, 2023 in Newark, New Jersey. (Photo by Chris Unger/Zuffa LLC)
Belal Muhammad punches Gilbert Burns of Brazil in a welterweight fight during the UFC 288 event at Prudential Center on May 06, 2023 in Newark, New Jersey. (Photo by Chris Unger/Zuffa LLC)

What to Look For in the Fight: While this seems like it’ll be a striker-vs-grappler matchup, there is nuance within that. Muhammad will have to corral Edwards against the fence to begin his takedown sequences, but Edwards, who most recently fended off takedowns from Kamaru Usman and Colby Covington, is more than adept at stuffing and getting back to space. However, one could argue Muhammad will be willing to grind out sequences much more than the previous two. That said, Edwards should have the strength, speed and striking advantage. If he can remain sharp and manage distance, he could make life very difficult for Muhammad in his quest to get close. 

Co-Main Event: Tom Aspinall vs Curtis Blaydes

Tom Aspinall

Key Stats: 2:10 average fight time (1st shortest all-time), +4.95 striking differential (1st all-time), 100% takedown defense

Tom Aspinall of England kicks Marcin Tybura of Poland in their heavyweight fight during the UFC Fight Night at The O2 Arena on July 22, 2023 in London, England. (Photo by Chris Unger/Zuffa LLC)
Tom Aspinall of England kicks Marcin Tybura of Poland in their heavyweight fight during the UFC Fight Night at The O2 Arena on July 22, 2023 in London, England. (Photo by Chris Unger/Zuffa LLC)

What It Means: Aspinall is as fast and well-rounded a heavyweight as the division has seen in the last half-decade. His boxing is crisp, clean, and contains very little of the wild, winging punches often seen in the weight class. He is also incredibly comfortable as a grappler and boasts a black belt in jiu-jitsu. In every area of the fight, Aspinall is loose, comfortable and quick, attributes he leans on to evade and set up his opponent for takedowns or powerful strikes. 

Curtis Blaydes

Key Stats: 62 takedowns landed (1st all-time among HW), 49.4% control time percentage (6th all-time among HW), 53.5% takedown accuracy (7th all-time among HW)

RELATED: Co-Main Event Spotlight

What It Means: “Razor” is a brutish, explosive heavyweight with some underrated striking, to boot. While his wrestling is, and always will be, his best weapon, Blaydes has done well to find his own way in the striking realm. He keeps things simple and knows when to sit down on a punch. Often, he throws in short combinations, and his punches are relatively tight. Granted, he would love to get people down to the mat, where he can maintain control while dropping devastating punches and elbows. 

Order UFC 304: Edwards vs Muhammad 2

What to Look For in the Fight: Because of the knee injury Aspinall suffered 15 seconds into their first fight, not much was learned from this fascinating matchup. Aspinall does have the speed advantage on the feet, and his footwork might cause Blaydes problems. However, Blaydes’ explosiveness and timing could make up for that if he is mindful of the danger coming his way from Aspinall’s hands, legs and knees. We haven’t seen Aspinall off his back even though he has shown slick grappling thus far. If Aspinall can keep Blaydes at bay with his jabs, he should find success setting up his myriad attacks from distance, but he cannot underestimate Blaydes’ power. 

Other Fights to Watch (Arnold Allen vs Giga Chikadze, Muhammad Mokaev vs Manel Kape)

Arnold Allen

Key Stats: 3.39 strikes landed per minute, 2.91strikes absorbed per minute, 50% takedown accuracy (tied 6th all-time among FW)

Arnold Allen of England punches Movsar Evloev of Russia in a featherweight bout during the UFC 297 event at Scotiabank Arena on January 20, 2024 in Toronto, Ontario. (Photo by Jeff Bottari/Zuffa LLC)
Arnold Allen of England punches Movsar Evloev of Russia in a featherweight bout during the UFC 297 event at Scotiabank Arena on January 20, 2024 in Toronto, Ontario. (Photo by Jeff Bottari/Zuffa LLC)

What It Means: “Almighty” is a well-rounded fighter whose size, speed and technique make him a difficult puzzle for most to solve. He is light on his feet, bouncing in and out of range, and has a sharp, southpaw jab that he uses to maintain the range he wants. He has good kicks that he mixes up to the body and head. Allen does have good wrestling that he’ll use in a pinch, but he prefers to pepper his opponent with jabs and long-range strikes.

Giga Chikadze

Key Stats: 0.77 knockdowns averaged per 15 minutes, 4.08 strikes landed per minute, 69% takedown defense

What It Means: Chikadze is a devastating striker with a karate background that shows up most when he is throwing his incredibly powerful kicks. Whether it is to the legs, the body or the head, Chikadze’s kicking power is easily his weapon. He does have solid boxing, but he does his best work from range when he can pick his shots and pounce on an opportunity to blitz forward.

RELATED: Chikadze's Fight Week Interview 

What to Look For in the Fight: If Allen sits on the outside, he could have a difficult time as that is where Chikadze has the most success and can get off his signature kicks, so Allen might be well-served getting into clinches and forcing some grappling early in the fight. Allen should be the faster fighter, as well. Chikadze, however, does have good timing on his strikes, regardless of his speed, but he could be a little rusty after an 11-month layoff.

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Muhammad Mokaev

Key Stats: 4 submission wins (tied 2nd all-time among FLW), 59.4% control time percentage (1st all-time among FLW), 1.36 strikes absorbed per minute (1st all-time among FLW)

What It Means: Mokaev is a bit of a phenom at 23 years old, and he fights with a mindfulness that belies his age due to an extensive amateur career. For all his skill, which continues to grow rapidly, he is a wrestler through and through. He times his shots well, rarely shooting in open space, and he can chain together his attacks smartly along the fence. His cardio holds up to this pace, but he also has a knack for the spectacular, whether that comes in the form of a flying knee or a slick transition on the ground. For the most part, he’s been able to render opponents helpless because of his wrestling.  

Muhammad Mokaev of Russia prepares to fight Jafel Filho of Brazil in a flyweight fight during the UFC 286 event at The O2 Arena on March 18, 2023 in London, England. (Photo by Jeff Bottari/Zuffa LLC)
Muhammad Mokaev of Russia prepares to fight Jafel Filho of Brazil in a flyweight fight during the UFC 286 event at The O2 Arena on March 18, 2023 in London, England. (Photo by Jeff Bottari/Zuffa LLC)

Manel Kape

Key Stats: 1.09 knockdowns averaged per 15 minutes (4th all-time among FLW), 54.7% significant strike accuracy (5th all-time among FLW), 77% takedown defense

What It Means: Kape is a talented and sharp striker with all-around skills that make him a difficult matchup for anybody in the division. On the feet, he is ultra-fast and has improved his sense of timing and range on the feet. He is able to leap in with powerful punches or dynamic strikes with a real quickness, and he shows good strength when defending takedowns. It is his suddenness that pops off the screen the most. 

What to Look For in the Fight: Mokaev is going to try to get at Kape’s legs, but Kape has the footwork, athleticism and range management to make life quite difficult for him. Kape could catch Mokaev moving in with a knee or uppercut if he takes a sloppy, desperate shot. That said, Mokaev never really quits on himself or his gameplan, so he will force Kape to stay sharp for as long as the fight lasts.

UFC 304: Edwards vs Muhammad 2 took place live from Co-op Live in Manchester, England on July 27, 2024. See the final Prelim & Main Card Results, Official Scorecards and Who Won Bonuses - and relive the action on UFC FIGHT PASS!