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Gilbert Melendez' UFC on FOX 10 Prediction

UFC lightweight and FOX Sports commentator Gilbert Melendez makes his prediction for the UFC on FOX 10 Main Event, Benson Henderson vs. Josh Thomson. 
On the outcome:

I think it’s going to be a competitive fight. I think Benson will be the winner, not by a large favor but a good favor. I think if he imposes his wrestling, his takedowns and body locks, and focuses on holding Thomson down he can absolutely be successful and win. 

As for Thomson his best way is to try to close the distance and throw a lot more punches--heavier punches--but also be ready to defend the takedowns and disengage. Don’t play the kicking game, obviously Benson has strong kicks and he’s a tactical guy. It could be competitive though but I think the wrestling will have played the edge out here.

Decision:

I think it’s a strong possibility for the fight to go the five rounds. Unless Thomson knocks out Benson, because I think Thomson has [a better] chance to knock him out.

On Thomson's chances of winning:

You have to fight and I think it is a very high caliber fight, and a very winnable fight. I think there’s a chance; I’m giving my decision to Benson, but it will a very competitive fight and Thomson can absolutely win this if he comes really prepared and sticks to a solid game plan.

Thomson’s best option:

I think if he can stay on his feet and when he does attack, attack with big flurries and try to stay in a close distance where he can throw more punches rather than more kicks. And I think he can be successful in that department, he has a really good standup a really good striking.

On fighting for the title:

There’s definitely pressure because they are both two top fighters. But it’s a good fight for both of them, losing to Josh Thomson isn’t a bad thing for Benson, and losing to Benson Henderson isn’t a bad thing for Thomson. Two of the top fighters, the number one on the division versus number four, it’s a good matchup and I think it should be exciting and there’s more to gain than to lose on this one for both of them. 
Wednesday, April 16
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Quebec City, Canada

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